![]() That's especially true when he controls so much of the party apparatus nationally and at a state level - unless Republican voters overwhelmingly conclude that Trump is largely to blame for the midterm losses and are convinced he gives them a worse chance at winning the presidency than, say, a Florida Gov. They will be in charge of maintaining a fragile House majority that would likely have been bigger without election-denying candidates on the ballot and was attained in spite of a leader who craves being the center of attention and whose brand has repeatedly proven toxic in general elections in competitive states and districts.īut Trump's popularity and influence with the base is going to make separating "Trump" from "Republican" difficult for the party in the near future. It's quite the box for Republican elected officials. or whomever becomes the Republican speaker - and leaves them vulnerable to losing the House in two years.Īnd though he's wounded by these midterm losses, Trump remains the favorite for the Republican presidential nomination, though less of a sure bet. ![]() That means, Republicans would only be able to lose four votes to pass legislation out of the House starting in January. If current leads hold, Republicans would wind up with a 222-213 majority.Republicans are up to 218-212 with five uncalled races.6 riot at the Capitol in an attempt to hold onto power, announced another run for president Tuesday night. elections with baseless conspiracies and who inspired the deadly Jan. But an overwhelming number of them lost in general elections in purple states and swing districts.Īnd yet the former president, who has fomented distrust in U.S. He was able to boost many of these candidates through GOP primaries. There were so many close races that the extreme Trump-backed candidates likely made the difference between the slim majority Republicans are likely to attain and something much larger - and in the range prognosticators were expecting. In Arizona, 40% of voters said they were angry about the Supreme Court's decision - and anger is a huge motivator. In Pennsylvania, abortion came in as the top issue. The exit polls also showed big majorities of voters, for example, thought the Supreme Court went too far in overturning Roe. The two things are related in that it showed voters rejected extremes. Voters rejected Trump-backed election-denying candidates up and down the ballot.Abortion rights were clearly a huge motivator and.And the electorate was whiter than in past elections, reversing a decades-long trend of whites shrinking as a share of the electorate in midterms. ![]() Exit polls showed inflation was the top issue overall and Republicans were far-more trusted to handle the issue than Democrats. It's not as if there was a massive issue-area shift from pre- to post-election. And, while they will have the majority, Republicans are likely to wind up with a far smaller one than they were hoping for. And yet, it took much longer for the House to be called in Republicans' favor than either party was expecting.
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